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Can the Tories ever win again - audio recording

Friday, July 06 2012

Click above for a full recording of the event.

Despite all Labour's woes in the last days of government, Cameron's Conservatives couldn't win a majority. Will they be able to next time? Jon Trickett will be presenting new polling analysis to demonstrate the electoral bind they are in; if they become more compassionate to attract more swing voters they could lose their core vote to UKIP. If they appeal to their base then they may struggle to win or even keep new converts. Jon will argue that because of this Labour and the wider left has the opportunity to be much bolder than New Labour ever imagined was possible.

Tim Montgomerie will respond - setting out his arguments on how the Conservatives can win and govern successfully.

When? Wednesday 20th June at 7.00pm - 8.30pm
Where? Committee Room 11, House of Commons, London
Speakers: Jon Trickett MP (Shadow Cabinet Office Minister) & Tim Montgomerie (Editor, ConservativeHome). Chair - Mary Riddell (The Daily Telegraph)
How to register: Email info@compassonline.org.uk
Live updates: @compassoffice

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Comments

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1 to 26 of 26
Posted by mbt shoes (Sishen)
on 01 December 2012, 5:39:17 PM
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Posted by Robert 
on 21 July 2012, 11:08:38 AM
Well as we know Tricket can change his view according to what is on offer within Politics we saw both Cruddas and Tricket campaign on issues only to walk away when asked by Blair or with Tricket the offer of bag carrier to Brown.

People have to have faith in when a Politician says something they mean it, sadly I come from the old school of politics your word is important, stupid i know.
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 14 July 2012, 1:54:21 PM
The latent Miliband concern for working class representation is, like some things ‘new labour’ advocates, superficially attractive. The dubious hand of Blue Labour and its desire to market Labour neo-liberalism in a slightly different way is clear. The tone and purpose behind Miliband’s statement remains fundamentally rightwing. It still sees the ‘new labour’ definition of the working class as politically and culturally dependent on the kind of elitists whom he himself exemplifies and who form his body of advisors.

Having Jon Trickett, (who in his pre-parliamentary career probably did more for the working class majority than Miliband will ever do,) as the token prole to be rolled out to front this initiative, is quite clever. Mr. Trickett fits the Tory-‘new labour’ identikit of the working class Labour politician now so rare in the PLP. Since the Miliband emphasis is on ‘representation’ and is not a move to the Left in any way, Jon Trickett is his man. A few more men and women with a non metropolitan background and with some genuine links with the trade union movement and with local communities will be found. We might even see a little less of that obscene spectacle whereby the likes of the Milibands, Blair and Mandelson carpet bag their way into safe Labour seats with which they have no connection whatsoever.

But as Miliband and his clique know, it is not just about the narrow definition of ‘representation’ as he and his Blue Labour ideologists now champion it. You can bet your life that a Josephine Bloggs figure, who has a strong trade background; is a person of standing in her community and is a committed socialist, will not stand a snowball’s chance in hell of being selected as a Labour candidate. Still less will Miliband and his tame prole allow anything like a critical mass of Joseph and Josephine Bloggs figures to stand as Labour Parliamentary candidates.
Posted by Harry Barnes (Dronfield)
on 12 July 2012, 6:34:48 PM
At a meeting of the National Policy Forum in Birmingham near the end of June, Ed Milband said ""We need a politics where politicians look like the constituents they represent...we should not rest until we deal with one of the most glaring omissions: the skewing of our politics away from working class representation. And I have asked Jon Trickett from our Shadow Cabinet to lead our work on this issue."

So what ideas would you like Jon to recommend to Ed? What about (a) a bigger role in the nominating and selection procedures for both the rank and file and affiliated Trade Unions, (b) why not limit nominations for the post of parliamentary candidate to those already living in or near the relevant constituency, as Labour is still stronger in working class areas than elsewhere, and (c) making the Labour Party a body which working class people want to join by seeking to meet their needs.

Ideas to John Trickett MP, House of Commons, London SWIA OAA or via email to trickettj@parliament.uk
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 12 July 2012, 3:32:42 PM
Lewis, if you write another verse bear in mind that the older Miliband has just made it clear that he has ambitions and he is not going to simply fade away. Consider as well that since Ed Balls has ceded his claim to the succession to his wife, there is the real possibility that we see a North Korea like succession based on an emerging David Miliband-Yvette Cooper dynasty. Now there’s a very ‘new labour’ culture of Entitlement.

Perhaps in response to this attempted stitch up we will see Jon Cruddas and Caroline Flint in an appropriately unholy alliance of convenience: the chancer and the clothes horse, as it were.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 12 July 2012, 8:51:41 AM
But who's that jaunty co-pilot approaching the Labour kite?
Surely it can't be,surely,but that swagger...
I'd swear it's old "blandy" Blair,but I thought he bought it over
Mesopotamia,always was a tricky fly boy though,never say
Tony Ace is dead...
Wonder how "Skip" Ed going to handle this one...
Still they say when you're down to one sputtering engine
and there are bandits at three o'clock,Tony's the boy to
arrange a book deal,speaking contract and a consultacy fee
from the Labour faithful...Bring on the Brylcreem..
Still got lots of friends at West Malling as well,Jumbo Prescott,
Harry Lilac,Jonny "head-in-air" Cruddas,and of course his loyal mutt
Flinty.Bet she's wagging her tail!



Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 08 July 2012, 7:59:12 PM
Dugsie..."Are you thinking of joining?.."
Only if they retain their urbane and amusing leader.
And he remembers flying banners from propellor driven
aircraft can result in bad consequences.
Just what went wrong with the SDP!
Posted by Dugsie (Yorks)
on 22 June 2012, 5:05:26 PM
Lewis, although Europe is UKIPs predominant issue, they are attempting to evolve into a broader based populist rightwing party. Related to this, Nigel Farage has postulated a break within the FN with its leader Marinne La Pen abjuring racism and forming a party modelled on UKIP.

Are you thinking of joining ?
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 20 June 2012, 1:56:18 PM
Lewis, although Europe is UKIPs predominant issue, they are attempting to evolve into a broader based populist rightwing party. Related to this, Nigel Farage has postulated a break within the FN with its leader Marinne La Pen abjuring racism and forming a party modelled on UKIP.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 20 June 2012, 1:13:30 PM
UKIP is surely a single issue party?
It does well in Euro elections,not much impact in UK general elections.
On Lee's degrees of inconsequentiality index (DOII),it isn't that uncompassionate.Its leader comes across as an urbane and amusing person.If Labour is gambling on a UKIP breakthrough as the "harder"alternative to scupper the Tories it seems a forlorn hope.
As Dugsie suggests Labour needs a "Bonus Fomus Iuris" approach~the smell of a good and well thought out legislative programme relevant to the people.
Paul's image of Mary and Tim riding in tandem across the village green to evensong certainly revives the notion of the C of E as the Conservative Party at prayer.Apart from the Tories being much more sensible on gay marriage than the C of E!!

Posted by Lee (Mediterranean)
on 19 June 2012, 5:54:35 PM
How does one measure degrees of inconsequentiality ? This debate qualifies as an example of the outer degree. But then, almost everything Newlabour is doing qualifies as well. I agree very much with Dugsie's characterisation. That is why it doesnt matter in the least. The toilet will remain broken.

The fact that Compass shows its boilerplate excitement about this debate places Compass too at the outer edges of inconsequentiality.
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 19 June 2012, 1:41:06 PM
Having read Lewis's posting, I think I'll skip lunch today.
Provided that Jon Trickett does not get lost in thoughts of a Gramscian golden age to come, the debate should be interesting for highlighting the importance of small differences. Certainly at the end of the debate Tim Montgomerie and Mary Riddell can sleep safely in their respective beds.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 17 June 2012, 10:25:27 PM
I think Jon Trickett and Tony Blair had the suspect toilet at the back of Lee's Scottish chippies on their "to do" list,Dugsie.
But the fumes from the fried butter overcame them,and they had delusions of a third way.
No more boom and bust,spinsters riding bikes across the village green to evening service,a white hot state of the art very own and golden city.
The usual.
Posted by Dugsie  (Yorks)
on 17 June 2012, 9:48:10 PM
I remember Jon Tricket saying that he intended to help Tony Blair rebuild Britain. Did that job ever get done ?

Can the Tories ever win again ? The only reason they ever lose is so they can win again. If we had actually rebuilt Britain it may have changed things.
Posted by Lee (mediterranean)
on 17 June 2012, 8:49:47 PM
"A lot of nostalgic interest in your fishy oil gummy batter expired chocolate product amongst the Scots community here,Lee."

**************************************************

I'm none too surprised. They will never cook it right in Spain. You need the perfect combination of factors: fog and 10 degrees in the middle of summer, between showers; a hint of a broken toilet at the back of the shop; and daft old ladies saying "Ooch its a nice enough day! " A lot also depends on the oil. Try as they may, the Spanish appear incapable of reaching the right level of rancidness to produce the real thing. I dont know whether you have heard, but the Scottish chippies have introduced a new wondrous delicacy. Its called fried butter. The butter is deep frozen, then introduced to the same batter and oil. Some say it comes from Kansas. Its possible, but I am sure it travelled to Kansas from Midlothian in the first place.

I have noticed that the flood of English patriotic zeal released by Cruddas and his puppet Ed, seems to have coincided with a definite retreat by the once powerful Scottish presence in Newlabour. Perhaps the jingo bandwagon is Jon's way of saving the union and pulling the UK out of Europe. That is an important coincidence of factors because Cruddas doesnt want any interference from the European Court when he starts filling herring boats with deportees.

The UK has a very odd smell of late. I think we all recognise what it is, but are too British to name the word.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 15 June 2012, 1:20:44 PM
A lot of nostalgic interest in your fishy oil gummy batter expired chocolate product amongst the Scots community here,Lee.
At the Hoops Bar in Guardamar it's certainly on trend.
Just wallop on the crazed baying sheep atop the darkening hillside logo,add the Brian Lynch approved stereotype tartan label,and Jock's your uncle.
Not to mention a rare fine sprinkling of the secret formula reeking emerald moss saturated fluid to impart that final je ne sais quoi.
But brand names are crucial.
Gordisludge?Aggisangst?
Incidentally did Dr.Cruddas really wear trews whilst campaigning for the deputy leadership under the Scottish leader?They were cold days and snell when we had to let bonnie Prince Jonnie row back to the academy.

Posted by Lee (mediterranean)
on 12 June 2012, 10:22:53 PM
Mainly a leaf falling through an autumn fog; or the reeking emerald moss saturated with liquids and fluids of alarming origin; or a frantic unheard bleat from the darkened hillside; or a crazed fairy bent on vengeance on a sooty black night; or a poorly deep-fried mars bar where gummy batter and fishy oil have mingled with long expired chocolate.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 12 June 2012, 8:56:40 PM
So was Gordon Brown John Major,Lee?
Or was he just a leaf falling through an autumn fog?
Posted by Lee (mediterranean)
on 12 June 2012, 5:22:13 PM
Paul: Can the Tories win again? In terms of policy it is not clear that the Tories have materially lost since 1979.

*********************************************************

Exactly, with Tony Blair, the Labour Party became the Great Tory Doppelgänger; so we have Thatcher whoever is in Number 10
Posted by Stan Rosenthal 
on 11 June 2012, 4:38:26 PM
So the dates had to be rescheduled for this meeting because of a last minute realisation that the original date clashed with the England match. I thought socialists were supposed to be good at forward planning!
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 06 June 2012, 12:01:08 PM
Lewis, Heaven forbid I should think that you were attempting a rehabilitation of Alan Clark! My comment was really about the way that political and cultural norms tend to be prepared give the benefit of any doubt going; tend to think of committed right-wingers better than they deserve.

In this connection, you lead me to think that Jon Trickett’s contribution may be something more than a reheating of a politically illiterate digression into Gramsci and a general hawking around of his working class Leeds roots.

I remember Trickett’s wholly disreputable contribution to a meeting in Leeds at the close of the Blair regime in which he hitched his career to Brown and blamed Blair for everything short of the day of the week. That really was odious. I wonder if Mr. Trickett proposes to do a similar hatchet job on Brown.

Can the Tories win again? In terms of policy it is not clear that the Tories have materially lost since 1979.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 01 June 2012, 1:20:59 PM
I had a debate with Paul once about my defence of Alan Clark,which Paul took to be a rehabilitation of the odious undead.
But surely,in the Matrix Churchill case,Clark was the last politician to volunteer the truth before a public commission.
Moreover this bravery/recklessness saved innocent people from suffering government persecution,and exposed the mechanisms of the government and civil service in diluting the "actualite".
I think this redeems a lot of very scarlet sins that Clark may be atoning for in Purgatory.
The Blair and Brown regimes learned a lot from Clark's lapse into honesty.
Nothing to our advantage though.
I hope Jon Trickett's approach to this debate will be as forthright uninhibited and as mischevious as that of Clark in his prime!
Posted by Lee 
on 30 May 2012, 11:44:42 PM
Rob: there is no need to try to see a difference, just because Newlabour claims there is. The only difference is how they dress their windows.
Posted by rob the crip 
on 30 May 2012, 10:22:08 PM
Labour Tory I still find it hard to see the differences
Posted by  
on 28 May 2012, 7:53:34 PM
"Jon will argue that because of this Labour and the wider left has the opportunity to be much bolder than New Labour ever imagined was possible."..... how embarrassing, just as Newlabour reconvenes stronger than ever with the Blairite old guard back at centre stage including Blair himself. Where has Trickett been for the last few months ? In an isolation tank ?
Posted by Lee (mediterranean)
on 28 May 2012, 7:49:38 PM
Very silly. If it had been "Can either Tories or Labour Ever Win Again, and if not what will the outcomes be" that could have been an interesting debate/

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